Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.042286 0.049220 0.056838 0.065818 0.076099 0.087488 0.101047
2025-08-03 0.031966 0.041044 0.051932 0.065902 0.083292 0.104166 0.131054
2025-08-10 0.024312 0.034062 0.046699 0.064158 0.087516 0.117534 0.158850
2025-08-17 0.019090 0.028931 0.042598 0.062759 0.091487 0.130652 0.187715
2025-08-24 0.015723 0.025574 0.040128 0.062879 0.097143 0.146316 0.221562
2025-08-31 0.012778 0.022207 0.036962 0.061297 0.099851 0.157822 0.250544
2025-09-07 0.011371 0.020954 0.036730 0.063994 0.109127 0.179769 0.297115
2025-09-14 0.009756 0.019029 0.035060 0.064033 0.114041 0.195337 0.335271
2025-09-21 0.008182 0.016869 0.032617 0.062338 0.115728 0.205716 0.365918
2025-09-28 0.007041 0.015295 0.030938 0.061673 0.118969 0.218802 0.402097
2025-10-05 0.006589 0.014984 0.031523 0.065173 0.129938 0.246045 0.464913
2025-10-12 0.006076 0.014450 0.031586 0.067650 0.139234 0.271127 0.526100
2025-10-19 0.005211 0.013027 0.029703 0.066135 0.140928 0.282906 0.564991
2025-10-26 0.004551 0.011940 0.028351 0.065504 0.144264 0.298055 0.611594
2025-11-02 0.003878 0.010686 0.026440 0.063418 0.144379 0.307000 0.647185
2025-11-09 0.003343 0.009664 0.024881 0.061860 0.145363 0.317670 0.687029
2025-11-16 0.002983 0.009015 0.024083 0.061890 0.149720 0.335476 0.742624
2025-11-23 0.002580 0.008170 0.022674 0.060287 0.150250 0.345363 0.782826
2025-11-30 0.002441 0.008034 0.023010 0.062920 0.160687 0.377135 0.871490
2025-12-07 0.002195 0.007535 0.022332 0.062947 0.165036 0.396108 0.934409
2025-12-14 0.001909 0.006854 0.021059 0.061272 0.165110 0.405607 0.977482
2025-12-21 0.001699 0.006361 0.020220 0.060615 0.167583 0.420701 1.034193
2025-12-28 0.001649 0.006390 0.020870 0.064058 0.180721 0.461483 1.152256